EdgeGoat
Maikel Garcia
Kansas City Royals · #11 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 88.5% | 72.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 75.9% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.6% | 76.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 60.8% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.1% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 60.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 89.5% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 59.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 91.5% | 72.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 91.5% | 72.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 62.3% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.7% | 72.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 63.6% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 76.3% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 94.6% | 85.7% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 85.2% | 61.5% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 88.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 75.9%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 82.6%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 71.1%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 89.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 91.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 8 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 91.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 82.7%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 76.3%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 94.6%
- Book
- 85.7%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.8won(1)
- Model
- 85.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Maikel Garcia's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Maikel Garcia, 15 won and 5 lost.
Every Maikel Garcia line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).