EdgeGoat
Manny Machado
San Diego Padres · #13 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.2% | 76.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.8% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.9% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | Sep 11 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 82.2% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 85.5% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jun 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.2% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 63.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 6 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 99.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 6 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 76.5% | 19.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 6 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.6% | 99.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 87.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 76.5% | 52.4% | lost(0) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 79.2%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.9%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesSep 11 · projected 1.3won(0)
- Model
- 82.2%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 85.5%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJun 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 82.2%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 6 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.8%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 6 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 19.0%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 6 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.6%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 87.5%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.5lost(0)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Manny Machado's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Manny Machado, 18 won and 2 lost.
Every Manny Machado line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).