EdgeGoat
Marcell Ozuna
Pittsburgh Pirates · #24 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.3% | 53.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 93.4% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 93.3% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 62.5% | 56.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 92.7% | 66.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 93.3% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 batterWalks | May 7 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 95.7% | 86.7% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 7 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 73.9% | 47.6% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 92.6% | 89.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 7 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.1% | 98.4% | void(0) |
| Under 3.5 rbis | May 7 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 100.0% | 99.8% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 92.6% | 64.3% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 5 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 55.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 93.4%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 93.3%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 14 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 14 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 92.7%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 93.3%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 batterWalksMay 7 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 95.7%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 7 · projected 1.2void(0)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 92.6%
- Book
- 89.5%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 7 · projected 0.1void(0)
- Model
- 99.1%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Under 3.5 rbisMay 7 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 99.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 92.6%
- Book
- 64.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Marcell Ozuna's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Marcell Ozuna, 5 won and 1 lost.
Every Marcell Ozuna line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).