EdgeGoat
Matt McLain
Cincinnati Reds · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.5% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 48.2% | 35.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 87.7% | 71.4% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 23 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.4% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 13 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 59.9% | 52.4% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 59.7% | 51.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.3% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 19 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.3% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.2% | 60.0% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 69.7% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 73.3% | pending |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 48.2%
- Book
- 35.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 87.7%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 23 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 60.4%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 13 · projected 0.9void(0)
- Model
- 59.9%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 59.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 19 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 0.9void(0)
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 73.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Matt McLain's props?
Across the last 11 graded model lines on Matt McLain, 7 won and 4 lost.
Every Matt McLain line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).