EdgeGoat
Matt Olson
Atlanta Braves · #28 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.6% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.4% | 69.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 10 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 66.1% | 47.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 6 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 66.5% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 4 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 66.5% | 40.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.7% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 31 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 66.0% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 8 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.9% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 5 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 69.7% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 27 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 66.4% | 45.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 27 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.9% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 6 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 65.8% | 46.5% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 28 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.1% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 28 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 66.1% | 43.5% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 20 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 65.9% | 46.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 77.2% | 72.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 22 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 50.7% | 46.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 86.3% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.3% | 59.2% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.6%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 10 · projected 2.2lost(1)
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 6 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 4 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.7%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 31 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 66.0%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 8 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 5 · projected 1.6lost(0)
- Model
- 69.7%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 27 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 66.4%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 27 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.9%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 6 · projected 2.2won(4)
- Model
- 65.8%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 28 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 28 · projected 2.2won(2)
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 20 · projected 2.2lost(1)
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 22 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 50.7%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 86.3%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Matt Olson's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Matt Olson, 8 won and 12 lost.
Every Matt Olson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).