EdgeGoat
Matt Vierling
Detroit Tigers · #8 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 12 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.1% | 60.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 59.6% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.2% | 64.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.2% | 64.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.8% | 98.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 31.7% | 22.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 98.3% | 94.1% | lost(1) |
| Under 4.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 98.8% | lost(5) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.5% | 95.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 94.7% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 12 · projected 0.9void(0)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 59.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 96.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1lost(1)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 98.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 31.7%
- Book
- 22.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 94.1%
- Under 4.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6lost(5)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 98.8%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.5%
- Book
- 95.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 94.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Matt Vierling's props?
Across the last 10 graded model lines on Matt Vierling, 5 won and 5 lost.
Every Matt Vierling line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).