EdgeGoat
Mauricio Dubon
Atlanta Braves · #14 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.1% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 70.5% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.5% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 8 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 70.5% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 27 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 71.3% | 69.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 27 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 70.0% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 89.9% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.3% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 72.8% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 27 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 76.5% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 76.3% | 69.7% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 83.9% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.3% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 83.9% | 68.8% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 64.9% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 64.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 84.5% | 69.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 66.1% | lost(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 84.5% | 69.2% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.1%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 70.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 75.5%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 8 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 70.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 27 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 71.3%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 27 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 70.0%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 89.9%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 6 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 27 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 1.1pending
- Model
- 76.3%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 83.9%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.3%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.9void(0)
- Model
- 83.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 84.5%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 84.5%
- Book
- 69.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Mauricio Dubon's props?
Across the last 17 graded model lines on Mauricio Dubon, 13 won and 4 lost.
Every Mauricio Dubon line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).