EdgeGoat
Max Fried
New York Yankees · #54 · 55 games logged
IP · last 205.5
K · last 205.3
HA · last 204
ER · last 201.8
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | vs BOS | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | vs TB | 6.2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Sep 15 | @ MIN | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 10 | vs COL | 3.1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 4 | @ SD | 5.2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Aug 29 | vs BOS | 3.2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Aug 13 | vs SEA | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Aug 7 | vs ATL | 6.1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 1 | @ CHC | 5.1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jul 27 | @ CHW | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Jul 22 | vs PIT | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| May 13 | @ BAL | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| May 8 | @ MIL | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| May 3 | vs BAL | 5.1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Apr 27 | @ TEX | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Apr 22 | @ BOS | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Apr 16 | vs LAA | 5.1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Apr 11 | @ TB | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Apr 5 | vs MIA | 6.2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Mar 31 | @ SEA | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 7 · projected 14.5 | 14.5 | 62.5% | 51.2% |
| Over 3.5 Hits Allowed | Oct 7 · projected 4.5 | 4.5 | 65.2% | 63.0% |
| Over 1.5 Earned Runs | Oct 7 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 60.6% | 50.0% |
| Under 4.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 7 · projected 4.0 | 4.0 | 62.3% | 53.5% |
| Under 16.5 Innings Pitched | Sep 30 · projected 15.1 | 15.1 | 65.9% | 46.5% |
- Under 15.5 Outs RecordedOct 7 · projected 14.5
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 3.5 Hits AllowedOct 7 · projected 4.5
- Model
- 65.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 1.5 Earned RunsOct 7 · projected 2.2
- Model
- 60.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 4.5 Pitcher K'sOct 7 · projected 4.0
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 16.5 Innings PitchedSep 30 · projected 15.1
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 46.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Max Fried averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Max Fried is averaging 5.5 ip, 5.3 k, 4 ha, 1.8 er.
How did Max Fried play in the last game?
On Wednesday, September 30, 2026 vs BOS, Max Fried recorded 6 ip, 6 k, 3 ha, 1 er.
Every Max Fried line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).