EdgeGoat
Michael Busch
Chicago Cubs · #29 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michael Busch | Over 0.5 HitsCHC @ SD | 57.5% | 56.5%−130 | +1.0% |
- Over 0.5 HitsCHC @ SD+1.0%
- Model
- 57.5%
- Book
- 56.5%−130
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 29 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.9% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 27 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.4% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 74.3% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 26 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 61.8% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 15 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 76.3% | 57.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 Hits | Jun 4 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 85.2% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 18 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 74.8% | 60.0% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 55.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 62.3% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 66.1% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 64.3% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 67.7% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 59.2% | lost(5) |
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 29 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 27 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 74.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 26 · projected 1.6lost(0)
- Model
- 61.8%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 15 · projected 1.1won(0)
- Model
- 76.3%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 1.5 HitsJun 4 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 85.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 18 · projected 1.5lost(3)
- Model
- 74.8%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6lost(5)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Michael Busch today?
The strongest current line: Michael Busch over 0.5 hits (−130): model 57.5% vs book 56.5%, an edge of +1.0%.
How has the model done on Michael Busch's props?
Across the last 13 graded model lines on Michael Busch, 6 won and 7 lost.
Every Michael Busch line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).