EdgeGoat
Mickey Gasper
Boston Red Sox · #30 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.0% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 19 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.9% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 15 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 72.2% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 7 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.4% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 2 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.3% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.4% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.4% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 71.9% | 63.6% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 19 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 15 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 7 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 2 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.3%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 71.9%
- Book
- 63.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Mickey Gasper's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Mickey Gasper, 4 won and 5 lost.
Every Mickey Gasper line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).