EdgeGoat
Miguel Vargas
Chicago White Sox · #20 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 70.5% | 50.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 1 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 70.8% | 46.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 28 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 70.9% | 47.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 76.0% | 46.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 61.2% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 63.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 63.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 65.5% | lost(4) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 6 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 99.0% | 98.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 85.6% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 93.2% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 88.9% | 81.0% | won(1) |
| Under 4.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 63.6% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 80.8% | 56.5% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 13 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 70.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 1 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 28 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 76.0%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 61.2%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 6 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 2.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 99.0%
- Book
- 98.0%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 85.6%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 93.2%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.5won(1)
- Model
- 88.9%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 4.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 80.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Miguel Vargas's props?
Across the last 17 graded model lines on Miguel Vargas, 12 won and 5 lost.
Every Miguel Vargas line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).