EdgeGoat
Mike Trout
Los Angeles Angels · #27 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 26 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.6% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 48.8% | 45.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 22 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.1% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 77.4% | 48.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 17 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 77.4% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.5% | 46.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 77.6% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 77.4% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 4 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 62.6% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 29 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 69.8% | 69.7% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 28 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 78.8% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jun 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.3% | 53.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jun 17 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 62.6% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 2 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 73.0% | 61.5% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Jun 2 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.3% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | May 23 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.0% | 48.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 55.0% | 53.5% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 21 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 55.1% | 52.4% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 60.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 67.7% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 26 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 48.8%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 22 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 17 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 15 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 77.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 12 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 4 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 29 · projected 1.8won(2)
- Model
- 69.8%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJul 28 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 78.8%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJun 18 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 64.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJun 17 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 2 · projected 1.8won(2)
- Model
- 73.0%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredJun 2 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredMay 23 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 60.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7lost(4)
- Model
- 55.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 21 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 55.1%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Mike Trout's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Mike Trout, 12 won and 7 lost.
Every Mike Trout line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).