EdgeGoat
Mike Yastrzemski
Atlanta Braves · #18 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 8 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.9% | 48.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 68.5% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 61.1% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 19 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 59.5% | 53.5% | won(3) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 6 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 82.6% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 30 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 67.5% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.5% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 22 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 63.0% | 54.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 78.2% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 75.3% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 75.3% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 70.6% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 10 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 78.4% | 21.1% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 10 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 81.1% | 25.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 78.4% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 75.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 78.1% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 81.1% | 56.5% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 8 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.9%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 5 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 19 · projected 1.6won(3)
- Model
- 59.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 6 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 82.6%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 30 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 22 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 63.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 78.2%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 75.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 75.3%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 10 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 78.4%
- Book
- 21.1%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 10 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 81.1%
- Book
- 25.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 78.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 78.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 81.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Mike Yastrzemski's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Mike Yastrzemski, 14 won and 6 lost.
Every Mike Yastrzemski line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).