EdgeGoat
Mitch Garver
Seattle Mariners · #18 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 76.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.9% | 68.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 93.7% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.9% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 72.1% | 61.5% | won(1) |
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 93.7%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.9%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 72.1%
- Book
- 61.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Mitch Garver's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Mitch Garver, 3 won and 1 lost.
Every Mitch Garver line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).