EdgeGoat
MJ Melendez
New York Mets · #1 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 93.7% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 60.9% | 50.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 60.9% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.4% | 54.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 63.6% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 10 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 65.9% | 65.5% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 81.3% | 64.9% | won(1) |
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 93.7%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 10 · projected 0.8pending
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 81.3%
- Book
- 64.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on MJ Melendez's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on MJ Melendez, 4 won and 2 lost.
Every MJ Melendez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).