EdgeGoat
Nathan Lukes
Toronto Blue Jays · #38 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 83.6% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.1% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 84.9% | 81.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 73.9% | 68.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 97.5% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 15 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.2% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 15 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 93.5% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jul 8 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 72.8% | 69.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jul 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 72.8% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 79.4% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 68.8% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 83.6%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 84.9%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 28 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 15 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 15 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 93.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJul 8 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJul 6 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 79.4%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 68.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nathan Lukes's props?
Across the last 11 graded model lines on Nathan Lukes, 7 won and 4 lost.
Every Nathan Lukes line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).