EdgeGoat
Nathaniel Lowe
Cleveland Guardians · #46 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.8% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.2% | 65.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 67.7% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 67.1% | 62.3% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 66.6% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 19 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 66.6% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.7% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 62.9% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.7% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.7% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 93.6% | 64.3% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 73.1% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 73.1% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 65.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 10 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 72.7% | 65.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 61.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 72.8% | 68.8% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 68.8% | pending |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 61.5% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.8%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.2%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 67.7%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 25 · projected 0.9void(0)
- Model
- 67.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 19 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 82.7%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 60.7%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 60.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 93.6%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 73.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 73.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 10 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 72.7%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 61.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nathaniel Lowe's props?
Across the last 15 graded model lines on Nathaniel Lowe, 11 won and 4 lost.
Every Nathaniel Lowe line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).