EdgeGoat
Nelson Velazquez
Houston Astros · #30 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 29 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 68.4% | 55.6% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 68.5% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 3 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.9% | 62.3% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 29 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 3 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nelson Velazquez's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Nelson Velazquez, 2 won and 0 lost.
Every Nelson Velazquez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).