EdgeGoat
Nick Castellanos
San Diego Padres · #21 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 61.7% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 23 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 73.7% | 70.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 22 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 73.6% | 69.2% | lost(4) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 22 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 73.7% | 67.7% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 22 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 61.7% | 59.2% | lost(3) |
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 23 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 22 · projected 1.1lost(4)
- Model
- 73.6%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 22 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 22 · projected 0.7lost(3)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nick Castellanos's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Nick Castellanos, 1 won and 4 lost.
Every Nick Castellanos line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).