EdgeGoat
Nick Fortes
Tampa Bay Rays · #40 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 87.7% | 87.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 86.7% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.5% | 78.9% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 73.2% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 22 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 61.7% | 52.4% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 64.8% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 84.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 73.3% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 67.0% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 97.5% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 71.3% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 72.2% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 86.2% | 63.0% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 74.5% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 77.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.9% | 99.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 86.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 86.4% | 84.6% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 87.7%
- Book
- 87.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 80.5%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 73.2%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 22 · projected 1.2void(0)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 73.3%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 71.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.9pending
- Model
- 86.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 74.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 84.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nick Fortes's props?
Across the last 15 graded model lines on Nick Fortes, 11 won and 4 lost.
Every Nick Fortes line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).