EdgeGoat
Nick Gonzales
Pittsburgh Pirates · #3 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 84.9% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 71.6% | 66.1% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.2% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 11 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 70.7% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 9 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 72.3% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 25 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 71.1% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 12 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 72.7% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 72.7% | 69.2% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.9% | 61.5% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 19 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 78.0% | 53.5% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 74.1% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 66.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 56.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 91.4% | 69.2% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 57.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 91.4% | 69.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 91.4% | 69.2% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 7 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 77.6% | 34.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.5% | 31.3% | void(0) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 7 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | void(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 84.9%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 68.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 11 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 9 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 72.3%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 25 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 71.1%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 12 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 72.7%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 72.7%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 19 · projected 1.6won(2)
- Model
- 78.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 74.1%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 91.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 91.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 91.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 7 · projected 1.8void(0)
- Model
- 77.6%
- Book
- 34.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 69.5%
- Book
- 31.3%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 7 · projected 0.0void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nick Gonzales's props?
Across the last 15 graded model lines on Nick Gonzales, 11 won and 4 lost.
Every Nick Gonzales line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).