
Nick Kurtz
Athletics · #16 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 2 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 80.7% | 53.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jun 21 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 77.3% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 20 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 72.7% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 23 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.7% | 63.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 54.9% | 52.4% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 23 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 58.5% | 53.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 22 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 58.6% | 54.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 22 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 54.9% | 54.5% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 21 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 68.0% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | May 21 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 51.3% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 17 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 99.9% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 17 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 92.4% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 17 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 96.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 96.4% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 rbis | May 17 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 93.8% | won(0) |
| Under 4.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 14 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 97.2% | 67.7% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 83.5% | 75.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 14 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.9% | 96.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.5% | 90.9% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 2 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 80.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJun 21 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 77.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 20 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 72.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 23 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 54.9%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 23 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 58.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 22 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 58.6%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 22 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 54.9%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 21 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 68.0%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredMay 21 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 51.3%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 17 · projected 1.4won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 17 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 92.4%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 17 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 96.4%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 3.5 rbisMay 17 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 93.8%
- Under 4.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 14 · projected 1.4lost(4)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 83.5%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 14 · projected 0.1lost(1)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 96.2%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 14 · projected 0.3won(1)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 90.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nick Kurtz's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Nick Kurtz, 12 won and 7 lost.
Every Nick Kurtz line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).