EdgeGoat
Nick Loftin
Kansas City Royals · #12 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 11 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.5% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 30 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.0% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 97.8% | 76.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 97.6% | void(0) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 75.5% | 69.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 99.3% | 98.8% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 97.7% | 78.9% | void(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 11 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 30 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 62.0%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 97.8%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0void(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 97.6%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.9void(0)
- Model
- 75.5%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.5void(0)
- Model
- 99.3%
- Book
- 98.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 97.7%
- Book
- 78.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nick Loftin's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Nick Loftin, 2 won and 1 lost.
Every Nick Loftin line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).