EdgeGoat
Nick Sogard
Boston Red Sox · #20 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nick Sogard | Over 0.5 HitsBOS @ NYY | 57.2% | 55.6%−125 | +1.7% |
- Over 0.5 HitsBOS @ NYY+1.7%
- Model
- 57.2%
- Book
- 55.6%−125
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 58.9% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.1% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 87.6% | 75.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.3% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 25 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.7% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 89.2% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 84.8% | 73.3% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 25 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.2% | 54.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 24 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 70.8% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.2% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 19 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.2% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 17 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.3% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 15 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 74.7% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 11 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 73.1% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 73.2% | 67.7% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 2 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 73.2% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Aug 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 70.2% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Aug 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 70.2% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Aug 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 72.8% | 72.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 72.9% | 72.2% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 29 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 58.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.1%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 87.6%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 27 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 25 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 89.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 84.8%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 25 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 62.2%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 24 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 20 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 69.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 19 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 69.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 17 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 15 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 74.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 11 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 73.1%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 7 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 73.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 2 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 73.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 HitsAug 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 70.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 HitsAug 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 70.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 HitsAug 25 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 HitsAug 24 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 72.9%
- Book
- 72.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Nick Sogard today?
The strongest current line: Nick Sogard over 0.5 hits (−125): model 57.2% vs book 55.6%, an edge of +1.7%.
How has the model done on Nick Sogard's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Nick Sogard, 10 won and 9 lost.
Every Nick Sogard line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).