
Nico Hoerner
Chicago Cubs · #2 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.2% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.0% | 82.6% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.5% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 90.6% | 85.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 76.1% | 71.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 71.8% | 71.4% | won(3) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 2 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 70.1% | 68.8% | won(2) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 74.7% | 72.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 83.5% | 81.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 18 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 64.1% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 54.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 84.4% | 78.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 90.1% | 69.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 90.1% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 90.1% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 56.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 8 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 90.3% | 66.7% | pending |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.2%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.0%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 90.6%
- Book
- 85.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 1.4lost(0)
- Model
- 76.1%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.8won(3)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 2 · projected 1.9won(2)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 74.7%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 83.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 18 · projected 1.9won(1)
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 84.4%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 90.1%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 90.1%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 90.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 8 · projected 0.9pending
- Model
- 90.3%
- Book
- 66.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Nico Hoerner's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Nico Hoerner, 17 won and 2 lost.
Every Nico Hoerner line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).