EdgeGoat
Otto Lopez
Miami Marlins · #6 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 81.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 18 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 72.6% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 11 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 71.0% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 9 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.6% | 45.5% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 25 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 72.0% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 84.0% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 64.5% | 50.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 4 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 68.9% | 51.2% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 4 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 64.5% | 51.2% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 7 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.7% | 44.4% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 64.9% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 28 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 64.1% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 20 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.7% | 45.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 19 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.8% | 46.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 5 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.4% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 31 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 64.2% | 43.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 29 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 54.8% | 43.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 76.5% | 70.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 63.6% | lost(3) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 18 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 72.6%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 11 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 71.0%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 9 · projected 2.0won(4)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 25 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 5 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 4 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 68.9%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 4 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 7 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 28 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 20 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 19 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 63.8%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 5 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 31 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.2%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 29 · projected 2.3lost(0)
- Model
- 54.8%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Otto Lopez's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Otto Lopez, 8 won and 12 lost.
Every Otto Lopez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).