EdgeGoat
Owen Caissie
Miami Marlins · #17 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 9 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.2% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 57.5% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 5 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 59.9% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 7 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.7% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 26 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 58.6% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 57.9% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 19 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 71.6% | 62.3% | won(3) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 19 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.6% | 54.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 13 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 79.3% | 71.4% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.3% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.1% | 51.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 62.6% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 54.1% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 65.9% | 54.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 65.7% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 65.6% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 69.2% | lost(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 10 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 72.2% | 61.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 72.0% | 56.5% | void(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 9 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 57.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 5 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 59.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 7 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 26 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 58.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 57.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 19 · projected 1.4won(3)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 19 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 13 · projected 1.1void(0)
- Model
- 79.3%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 24 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 54.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 10 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 72.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Owen Caissie's props?
Across the last 16 graded model lines on Owen Caissie, 10 won and 6 lost.
Every Owen Caissie line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).