EdgeGoat
Ozzie Albies
Atlanta Braves · #1 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.4% | 82.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.1% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 19 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.5% | 39.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 10 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.0% | 37.0% | won(3) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.9% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 4 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.4% | 42.6% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 31 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 62.5% | 40.0% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 90.0% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 14 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.0% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 8 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.8% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 70.5% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 27 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 44.4% | won(5) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 27 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.4% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 6 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.1% | 45.5% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 71.6% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 79.2% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 28 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 62.6% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 22 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 52.0% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 71.6% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 20 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 62.6% | 41.7% | won(4) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 88.4%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 19 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 39.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 10 · projected 2.0won(3)
- Model
- 63.0%
- Book
- 37.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 72.9%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 4 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 31 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 90.0%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 14 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 8 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 5 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 70.5%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 27 · projected 2.1won(5)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 27 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 72.4%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 6 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 79.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 28 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 22 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 52.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 20 · projected 2.0won(4)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 41.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ozzie Albies's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Ozzie Albies, 13 won and 7 lost.
Every Ozzie Albies line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).