EdgeGoat
Parker Messick
Cleveland Guardians · #77 · 43 games logged
IP · last 205.1
K · last 205.4
HA · last 204.6
ER · last 201.5
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 | @ TB | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 8 | @ CHW | 2.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Oct 3 | vs CHW | 4.1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @ KC | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | @ BOS | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 16 | vs CHW | 6 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 11 | @ MIN | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 5 | vs DET | 6 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Aug 30 | vs KC | 6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Aug 24 | @ LAA | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Aug 19 | vs SF | 6.2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 13 | @ DET | 5.2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Aug 7 | @ CHW | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Aug 1 | vs ARI | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Jul 26 | @ TB | 7.2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 21 | vs MIN | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 14 | vs NL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 10 | @ MIA | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Jul 4 | vs CHW | 5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Jun 29 | vs TEX | 6.2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 18 · projected 13.3 | 13.3 | 73.7% | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 Pitcher BB | Oct 18 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 88.0% | 81.0% |
| Under 5.5 Hits Allowed | Oct 18 · projected 4.3 | 4.3 | 74.1% | 69.2% |
| Under 2.5 Earned Runs | Oct 18 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 74.2% | 72.2% |
| Under 4.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 18 · projected 3.9 | 3.9 | 64.7% | 48.8% |
| Under 14.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 8 · projected 12.2 | 12.2 | 61.5% | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 Pitcher BB | Oct 8 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 88.0% | 77.8% |
| Over 0.5 Earned Runs | Oct 8 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 81.9% | 78.9% |
| Under 5.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 8 · projected 4.7 | 4.7 | 65.9% | 47.6% |
| Under 16.5 Innings Pitched | Oct 3 · projected 13.4 | 13.4 | 77.4% | 53.5% |
| Over 11.5 Innings Pitched | Sep 27 · projected 17.2 | 17.2 | 81.1% | 52.4% |
| Over 4.5 Pitcher K's | Sep 27 · projected 5.3 | 5.3 | 68.5% | 30.3% |
- Under 15.5 Outs RecordedOct 18 · projected 13.3
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 2.5 Pitcher BBOct 18 · projected 1.2
- Model
- 88.0%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 5.5 Hits AllowedOct 18 · projected 4.3
- Model
- 74.1%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 2.5 Earned RunsOct 18 · projected 1.7
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 4.5 Pitcher K'sOct 18 · projected 3.9
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 14.5 Outs RecordedOct 8 · projected 12.2
- Model
- 61.5%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Under 2.5 Pitcher BBOct 8 · projected 1.2
- Model
- 88.0%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 Earned RunsOct 8 · projected 1.9
- Model
- 81.9%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 5.5 Pitcher K'sOct 8 · projected 4.7
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 16.5 Innings PitchedOct 3 · projected 13.4
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 11.5 Innings PitchedSep 27 · projected 17.2
- Model
- 81.1%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 4.5 Pitcher K'sSep 27 · projected 5.3
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 30.3%
Frequently asked questions
What is Parker Messick averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Parker Messick is averaging 5.1 ip, 5.4 k, 4.6 ha, 1.5 er.
How did Parker Messick play in the last game?
On Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at TB, Parker Messick recorded 5 ip, 3 k, 6 ha, 0 er.
Every Parker Messick line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).