EdgeGoat
Parker Messick
Cleveland Guardians · #77 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Sep 27 · projected 5.3 | 5.3 | 68.5% | 30.3% | lost(2) |
| Over 11.5 inningsPitched | Sep 27 · projected 17.2 | 17.2 | 81.1% | 52.4% | lost(9) |
- Over 4.5 pitcherStrikeoutsSep 27 · projected 5.3lost(2)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 30.3%
- Over 11.5 inningsPitchedSep 27 · projected 17.2lost(9)
- Model
- 81.1%
- Book
- 52.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Parker Messick's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Parker Messick, 0 won and 2 lost.
Every Parker Messick line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).