EdgeGoat
Patrick Bailey
Cleveland Guardians · #16 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 73.3% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 82.5% | 70.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 73.3% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 86.8% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 86.8% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.0% | 75.0% | void(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2void(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 82.5%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 6 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 5 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Patrick Bailey's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Patrick Bailey, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every Patrick Bailey line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).