EdgeGoat
Patrick Bailey
Cleveland Guardians · #16 · 246 games logged
H · last 200.8
HR · last 200.2
RBI · last 200.3
R · last 200.6
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | H | HR | RBI | R | TB | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vs TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 17 | vs TB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 15 | vs TB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13 | @ TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 12 | @ TB | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 10 | vs CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 8 | @ CHW | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 7 | @ CHW | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 5 | vs CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 3 | vs CHW | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @ KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 26 | @ KC | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 25 | @ KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 24 | @ BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | @ BOS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | vs ATH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 18 | vs ATH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 15 | vs CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | vs CHW | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 13 | @ MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Hits | Oct 19 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.4% | 52.4% |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Oct 17 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.1% | 55.6% |
| Over 0.5 H+R+RBI | Oct 15 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 65.8% | 61.5% |
| Over 0.5 H+R+RBI | Oct 12 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 65.7% | 57.4% |
| Under 2.5 H+R+RBI | Oct 10 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 83.5% | 82.6% |
| Over 0.5 H+R+RBI | Oct 7 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 72.5% | 62.3% |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Oct 7 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 75.0% | 72.2% |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Oct 7 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 58.8% | 56.5% |
| Over 0.5 H+R+RBI | Oct 5 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 67.6% | 58.3% |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Oct 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 76.9% | 76.5% |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Oct 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.2% | 53.5% |
- Over 0.5 HitsOct 19 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 56.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 HitsOct 17 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 H+R+RBIOct 15 · projected 1.4
- Model
- 65.8%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 H+R+RBIOct 12 · projected 1.4
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 2.5 H+R+RBIOct 10 · projected 1.3
- Model
- 83.5%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Over 0.5 H+R+RBIOct 7 · projected 1.6
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBOct 7 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 HitsOct 7 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 58.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 H+R+RBIOct 5 · projected 1.4
- Model
- 67.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBOct 5 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 76.9%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 HitsOct 5 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 55.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Patrick Bailey averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Patrick Bailey is averaging 0.8 h, 0.2 hr, 0.3 rbi, 0.6 r.
How did Patrick Bailey play in the last game?
On Sunday, October 18, 2026 vs TB, Patrick Bailey recorded 0 h, 0 hr, 0 rbi, 0 r.
Every Patrick Bailey line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).