EdgeGoat
Pavin Smith
Arizona Diamondbacks · #26 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.8% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 26 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.1% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 94.1% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 51.9% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jul 6 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 63.1% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 62.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 26 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 94.1%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 51.9%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJul 6 · projected 1.4lost(0)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 61.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Pavin Smith's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Pavin Smith, 2 won and 3 lost.
Every Pavin Smith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).