EdgeGoat
Pete Alonso
Baltimore Orioles · #25 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 52.2% | 46.5% | pending |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 27 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 67.0% | 43.5% | pending |
| Under 3.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 98.7% | 98.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 68.7% | 63.0% | pending |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jun 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 80.7% | 76.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jun 13 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 76.9% | 70.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 27 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 98.6% | 50.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.3% | 55.6% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 85.9% | 72.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.3% | 55.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 60.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 58.3% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.8pending
- Model
- 52.2%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 27 · projected 2.2pending
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Under 3.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 98.7%
- Book
- 98.6%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.6pending
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJun 24 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 80.7%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJun 13 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 76.9%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 27 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 98.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 97.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 85.9%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 58.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Pete Alonso's props?
Across the last 10 graded model lines on Pete Alonso, 5 won and 5 lost.
Every Pete Alonso line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).