EdgeGoat
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Chicago Cubs · #4 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 29 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 53.2% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 27 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 55.0% | 47.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 48.7% | 47.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 25 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 59.7% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 72.6% | 69.2% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 25 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 60.0% | 46.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 48.9% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 66.7% | 65.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 75.6% | 69.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 19 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 84.3% | 56.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 77.5% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 69.4% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 69.4% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 64.9% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 69.4% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 69.4% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 64.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 8 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 77.9% | 64.9% | won(1) |
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 29 · projected 1.9lost(0)
- Model
- 53.2%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 27 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 55.0%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 48.7%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 25 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 59.7%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 72.6%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 25 · projected 2.2lost(1)
- Model
- 60.0%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 48.9%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 75.6%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 19 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 84.3%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 77.5%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 8 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 77.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Pete Crow-Armstrong's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Pete Crow-Armstrong, 8 won and 12 lost.
Every Pete Crow-Armstrong line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).