EdgeGoat
Rafael Devers
San Francisco Giants · #16 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 6 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 29 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 68.7% | 57.4% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 82.8% | 60.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.5% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 73.4% | 63.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 66.7% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 97.5% | 96.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 12 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 65.5% | 57.4% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 7 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 70.0% | 68.8% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 71.5% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 19 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.7% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 9 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 53.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 66.7% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.2% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 77.9% | 68.8% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 17 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 78.0% | 43.5% | won(2) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 95.2% | 72.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 17 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.5% | 96.8% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 runsScored | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.7% | 99.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.3% | 88.9% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 6 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 29 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 82.8%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 69.5%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 73.4%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.5won(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 12 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 7 · projected 1.6won(4)
- Model
- 70.0%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.6lost(0)
- Model
- 71.5%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 19 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 9 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 28 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 62.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 77.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 17 · projected 1.4won(2)
- Model
- 78.0%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 17 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 95.2%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 17 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Under 2.5 runsScoredMay 17 · projected 0.3won(1)
- Model
- 99.7%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.3%
- Book
- 88.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Rafael Devers's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Rafael Devers, 11 won and 9 lost.
Every Rafael Devers line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).