EdgeGoat
Rafael Flores Jr.
Pittsburgh Pirates · #43 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 76.2% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.3% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 74.4% | 66.1% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 77.1% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 61.1% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 11 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.9% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.7% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 56.1% | 53.5% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 76.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 71.3%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 74.4%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 77.1%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 11 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Rafael Flores Jr.'s props?
Across the last 8 graded model lines on Rafael Flores Jr., 7 won and 1 lost.
Every Rafael Flores Jr. line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).