EdgeGoat
Randy Arozarena
Seattle Mariners · #56 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 51.9% | 47.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 53.3% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 27 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 54.2% | 42.6% | won(2) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 77.2% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.6% | 46.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 65.3% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 63.5% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.7% | 40.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 25 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 70.4% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 69.3% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 1 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 63.7% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 23 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 81.4% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 75.4% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 75.4% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.6% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 67.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 65.5% | lost(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.6% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.8% | 64.9% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 51.9%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 53.3%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 27 · projected 2.0won(2)
- Model
- 54.2%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 23 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 64.6%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 65.3%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 25 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 1 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 23 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 81.4%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 75.4%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 75.4%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.6%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.6%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 64.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Randy Arozarena's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Randy Arozarena, 15 won and 5 lost.
Every Randy Arozarena line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).