EdgeGoat
Riley Greene
Detroit Tigers · #31 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 26 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 48.7% | 47.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 63.4% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.4% | 58.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 6 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 69.3% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.7% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 4 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 69.3% | 69.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.1% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 71.4% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 65.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 89.6% | 84.6% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.4% | 97.6% | won(0) |
| Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 99.9% | 99.0% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.6% | 84.6% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 26 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 48.7%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 6 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 6 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 4 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 89.6%
- Book
- 84.6%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.4%
- Book
- 97.6%
- Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 99.6%
- Book
- 84.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Riley Greene's props?
Across the last 14 graded model lines on Riley Greene, 10 won and 4 lost.
Every Riley Greene line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).