Ryan Vilade

Tampa Bay Rays · #26 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 22 · projected 0.9	0.9	54.9%	53.5%	void(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 13 · projected 0.6	0.6	96.1%	67.7%	void(0)
Under 1.5 homeRuns	May 5 · projected 0.1	0.1	100.0%	98.4%	won(0)
Under 3.5 rbis	May 5 · projected 0.4	0.4	100.0%	95.2%	won(0)
Under 1.5 runsScored	May 5 · projected 0.3	0.3	99.1%	90.5%	won(0)
Under 4.5 totalBases	May 5 · projected 0.6	0.6	100.0%	73.3%	won(0)
Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 5 · projected 1.3	1.3	99.9%	69.2%	won(0)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 5 · projected 0.7	0.7	95.9%	73.3%	won(0)

Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 22 · projected 0.9
void(0)
Model
54.9%
Book
53.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 13 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
96.1%
Book
67.7%
Under 1.5 homeRuns
May 5 · projected 0.1
won(0)
Model
100.0%
Book
98.4%
Under 3.5 rbis
May 5 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
100.0%
Book
95.2%
Under 1.5 runsScored
May 5 · projected 0.3
won(0)
Model
99.1%
Book
90.5%
Under 4.5 totalBases
May 5 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
100.0%
Book
73.3%
Under 5.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 5 · projected 1.3
won(0)
Model
99.9%
Book
69.2%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 5 · projected 0.7
won(0)
Model
95.9%
Book
73.3%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Ryan Vilade's props?

Across the last 6 graded model lines on Ryan Vilade, 6 won and 0 lost.

Every Ryan Vilade line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).