EdgeGoat
Sal Frelick
Milwaukee Brewers · #10 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.1% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.6% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 91.3% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 73.9% | 71.4% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 60.4% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 75.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 72.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 99.9% | 98.4% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 81.0% | pending |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 96.8% | pending |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 93.8% | pending |
| Under 1.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 94.9% | 80.0% | pending |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 75.8% | 70.6% | pending |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 79.1%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 91.3%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 24 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 60.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.5pending
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.3pending
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0pending
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 93.8%
- Under 1.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.4pending
- Model
- 94.9%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.6pending
- Model
- 75.8%
- Book
- 70.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Sal Frelick's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Sal Frelick, 3 won and 4 lost.
Every Sal Frelick line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).