EdgeGoat
Sal Stewart
Cincinnati Reds · #27 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 84.6% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 48.8% | 41.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 81.5% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 23 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 40.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 13 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.7% | 40.0% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 6 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 45.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 45.5% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 4 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 48.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 24 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.4% | 48.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 11 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 46.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.9% | 47.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 25 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.7% | 45.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 20 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 62.1% | 46.5% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 19 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 63.8% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 19 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 62.1% | 40.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 17 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 61.7% | 42.6% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 7 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.4% | 40.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.3% | 46.5% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 25 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 92.3% | 40.8% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 23 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 80.9% | 75.0% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 84.6%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 48.8%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 81.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 23 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 13 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 6 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 5 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 4 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 24 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 11 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 5 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 25 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 20 · projected 2.0won(2)
- Model
- 62.1%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 19 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 63.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 19 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 62.1%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 17 · projected 2.0won(2)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 7 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 5 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 25 · projected 2.4lost(0)
- Model
- 92.3%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 23 · projected 1.3won(0)
- Model
- 80.9%
- Book
- 75.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Sal Stewart's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Sal Stewart, 8 won and 12 lost.
Every Sal Stewart line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).