EdgeGoat
Salvador Perez
Kansas City Royals · #13 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.4% | 82.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.2% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 9 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 72.5% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 30 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 72.1% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 28 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 72.0% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 60.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 58.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 59.2% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 79.9% | 64.9% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 66.1% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 82.7% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 84.6% | 26.7% | lost(3) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.7% | 80.0% | lost(2) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.4%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.2%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 9 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 30 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 72.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 28 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.7pending
- Model
- 79.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 82.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 84.6%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.3lost(2)
- Model
- 99.7%
- Book
- 80.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Salvador Perez's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on Salvador Perez, 14 won and 4 lost.
Every Salvador Perez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).