EdgeGoat
Samuel Basallo
Baltimore Orioles · #29 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 18 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.9% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.9% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.9% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.8% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 18 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.7% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 16 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.7% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 60.8% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.0% | 63.0% | lost(2) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 18 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.9%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 24 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 69.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.8%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 18 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 16 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Samuel Basallo's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Samuel Basallo, 5 won and 4 lost.
Every Samuel Basallo line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).