EdgeGoat
Sean Murphy
Atlanta Braves · #12 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sean Murphy | Under 0.5 Batter BBPHI @ ATL | 75.6% | 75.0%−300 | +0.6% |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBPHI @ ATL+0.6%
- Model
- 75.6%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.4% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 61.4% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 84.0% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 59.9% | 59.2% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 70.1% | 64.9% | void(0) |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBAug 20 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 84.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 59.9%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.7void(0)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Sean Murphy today?
The strongest current line: Sean Murphy under 0.5 batter bb (−300): model 75.6% vs book 75.0%, an edge of +0.6%.
How has the model done on Sean Murphy's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Sean Murphy, 2 won and 1 lost.
Every Sean Murphy line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).