EdgeGoat
Tarik Skubal
Los Angeles Dodgers · #29 · 62 games logged
IP · last 206
K · last 207.4
HA · last 204.7
ER · last 201.8
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | vs ATL | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 25 | @ SF | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 19 | vs SF | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Sep 14 | @ CIN | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 8 | vs CIN | 7.1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 3 | vs STL | 5.2 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Aug 28 | @ DET | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 22 | vs PIT | 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Aug 16 | vs MIL | 6 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Aug 10 | vs KC | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Aug 4 | @ CHC | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Jul 29 | vs BAL | 6.2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Jul 24 | vs KC | 7.1 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Jul 18 | @ LAA | 7 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 12 | vs PHI | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Jul 7 | vs ATH | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Jun 30 | @ NYY | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 24 | vs NYY | 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Jun 19 | vs CHW | 5.2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Jun 13 | @ CLE | 4.2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 11 · projected 15.4 | 15.4 | 65.5% | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 Pitcher BB | Oct 11 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 87.6% | 85.7% |
| Over 0.5 Earned Runs | Oct 11 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 77.8% | 77.8% |
| Under 7.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 11 · projected 6.6 | 6.6 | 65.4% | 62.3% |
| Over 6.5 Pitcher K's | Sep 25 · projected 7.7 | 7.7 | 78.9% | 64.9% |
- Under 17.5 Outs RecordedOct 11 · projected 15.4
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 2.5 Pitcher BBOct 11 · projected 1.3
- Model
- 87.6%
- Book
- 85.7%
- Over 0.5 Earned RunsOct 11 · projected 1.8
- Model
- 77.8%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 7.5 Pitcher K'sOct 11 · projected 6.6
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 6.5 Pitcher K'sSep 25 · projected 7.7
- Model
- 78.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
Frequently asked questions
What is Tarik Skubal averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Tarik Skubal is averaging 6 ip, 7.4 k, 4.7 ha, 1.8 er.
How did Tarik Skubal play in the last game?
On Saturday, October 3, 2026 vs ATL, Tarik Skubal recorded 6 ip, 7 k, 2 ha, 1 er.
Every Tarik Skubal line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).