EdgeGoat
Taylor Ward
Seattle Mariners · #27 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 13 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.5% | 64.9% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 48.8% | 47.6% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 2 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 68.5% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 67.5% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 28 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 67.5% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.6% | 52.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 45.9% | 41.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 68.3% | 50.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 31 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 68.1% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 25 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.7% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 19 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.1% | 63.0% | pending |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 27 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 98.5% | 51.2% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 74.0% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.8% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 62.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.8% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 65.5% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 78.0% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 64.3% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 13 · projected 1.1void(0)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 12 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 48.8%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 2 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 28 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 45.9%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 5 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 68.3%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJul 31 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 25 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 19 · projected 1.1pending
- Model
- 67.1%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 27 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 98.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 79.8%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 79.8%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 78.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 64.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Taylor Ward's props?
Across the last 17 graded model lines on Taylor Ward, 10 won and 7 lost.
Every Taylor Ward line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).