EdgeGoat
TJ Friedl
Cincinnati Reds · #29 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jul 7 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 63.9% | 59.2% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 65.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 66.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 64.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 70.6% | pending |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 77.5% | 64.9% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 61.3% | 52.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 66.1% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 75.7% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.2% | 75.0% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJul 7 · projected 1.5pending
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 77.5%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.2won(0)
- Model
- 61.3%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 75.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 75.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on TJ Friedl's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on TJ Friedl, 5 won and 1 lost.
Every TJ Friedl line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).