EdgeGoat
Trea Turner
Philadelphia Phillies · #7 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trea Turner | Under 0.5 Batter BBPHI @ ATL | 75.8% | 75.0%−300 | +0.8% |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBPHI @ ATL+0.8%
- Model
- 75.8%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 87.6% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 22 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.1% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.3% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.4% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 21 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.9% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jul 7 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 74.2% | 60.0% | lost(3) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 12 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 68.8% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.9% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 27 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 76.6% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 76.6% | 73.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 53.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 61.5% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 89.5% | 73.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.9% | 78.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 56.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 56.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 81.0% | 78.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 81.0% | 80.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 60.0% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 29 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 87.6%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 22 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 69.1%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 21 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 71.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJul 7 · projected 1.6lost(3)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 12 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 27 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 76.6%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 1.2lost(2)
- Model
- 76.6%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 89.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 79.9%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 81.0%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 8 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 81.0%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Trea Turner today?
The strongest current line: Trea Turner under 0.5 batter bb (−300): model 75.8% vs book 75.0%, an edge of +0.8%.
How has the model done on Trea Turner's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Trea Turner, 11 won and 9 lost.
Every Trea Turner line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).