EdgeGoat
Trevor Larnach
Minnesota Twins · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 7 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.2% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 28 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 69.0% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 21 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 66.9% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 66.9% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 66.9% | 61.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 67.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 87.3% | 72.2% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 7 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 28 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 69.0%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 21 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 6 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 87.3%
- Book
- 72.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Trevor Larnach's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Trevor Larnach, 4 won and 2 lost.
Every Trevor Larnach line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).