EdgeGoat
Trevor Story
Boston Red Sox · #10 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trevor Story | Under 0.5 Batter BBBOS @ NYY | 84.2% | 81.8%−450 | +2.4% |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBBOS @ NYY+2.4%
- Model
- 84.2%
- Book
- 81.8%−450
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 29 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 56.1% | 54.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.5% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.1% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 19 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 80.2% | 69.7% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 19 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 61.0% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 17 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.1% | 66.7% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 63.5% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 15 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 11 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 67.6% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 67.6% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 69.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 64.3% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 61.5% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 63.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 64.9% | won(0) |
| Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 99.9% | 99.8% | won(3) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 29 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 56.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 25 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 19 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 80.2%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 19 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 61.0%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 17 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 79.1%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 15 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 11 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 67.6%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 7 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 67.6%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.4won(3)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Trevor Story today?
The strongest current line: Trevor Story under 0.5 batter bb (−450): model 84.2% vs book 81.8%, an edge of +2.4%.
How has the model done on Trevor Story's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on Trevor Story, 12 won and 6 lost.
Every Trevor Story line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).