EdgeGoat
Troy Johnston
Colorado Rockies · #20 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.3% | 54.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 78.3% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 67.1% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.9% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 3 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 67.3% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 2 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.3% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 1 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.2% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.5% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 64.9% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 64.9% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 64.9% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 61.5% | 51.2% | lost(2) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 19 · projected 2.6 | 2.6 | 75.7% | 55.6% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 80.1% | 77.8% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 58.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 15 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 80.1% | 77.8% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 58.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 14 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 98.1% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 65.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 75.0% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 78.3%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 67.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 3 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 67.3%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 2 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 68.3%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 1 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 68.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 27 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 61.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 19 · projected 2.6won(2)
- Model
- 75.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 80.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 15 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 80.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 14 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Troy Johnston's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Troy Johnston, 12 won and 8 lost.
Every Troy Johnston line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).